![]() ![]() Theater counts: Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile debuts in an impressive 4,350 theaters While that slump was expected, the majority of films released since the first weekend of August have fallen short of our model’s expectations, which in turn means that our overall prediction for the year has fallen from $7.4 billion to $7.2 billion. Amsterdam provides it with some competition, but Smile is looking like the only other film that still has a shout at beating Lyle and topping the chart.Ģ022/23 market prediction: a slow end to Summer puts pressure on the end of the yearĪs expected, the Summer Season ended with a whimper at the box office, with only one film opening with over $20 million in the seven weeks between the debut of Bullet Train and Smile, and ten consecutive weeks and counting where all films reporting combined to earn less than $100 million. Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile is hoping for a debut somewhere in that ballpark this weekend, but, while it’s a strong favorite to come top of chart, our model thinks it might struggle to get there. Arguably the last one was Clifford the Big Red Dog, which opened with $16.6 million in November last year. It’s been a while since we’ve seen a straight up live action (with a touch of CGI) family film in theaters. Weekend predictions: Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile favorite going into weekend Clearly Smile is helped by its proximity to Halloween, but it’s still a remarkable result for Paramount, which is having a banner year at the box office. It’ll be down just 22% from its opening, according to Paramount’s Sunday-morning projection, the best hold for a wide release since Sing 2 declined 10% on its second weekend (and that film was significantly helped by its second weekend falling on the New Year’s holiday). ![]() Weekend projections: Smile’s excellent hold keeps it top of the chartĪn excellent second-weekend hold kept Smile at the top of the box office chart over the weekend. ![]()
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